Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

2.62 – 44.29

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

19 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 86.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±40

9977Off-Season Demo Team 9977

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 15.01Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9989Off-Season Demo Team 9989

Season APEX -Event APEX -5.09Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

6524Wilder Wolves FRC

Season APEX -Event APEX -7.3Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 60.8 ±41.2

9985Off-Season Demo Team 9985

Season APEX -Event APEX 8.55Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

9980Off-Season Demo Team 9980

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 14Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

4788Can't Control

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 21.74Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9977, 9989, 6524

/ 100 compat

Projected

2.6 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9977, 9989, 6524

Auto

2.9 21%

Teleop

4.3 30%

Endgame

6.9 49%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9985, 9980, 4788

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.3 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9985, 9980, 4788

Auto

15.3 34%

Teleop

26.5 59%

Endgame

3.0 7%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.94 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score2.6pts

Blue projected score44.3pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -41.7
Score range: -4–51
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 220 vs event baseline 40.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

0Season APEX60.8

2.9Auto15.3

4.3Teleop26.5

6.9Endgame3

63Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	48
teleop	3	116
endgame	2	37
foul	0	0
total	19	201

Result

Final score

19 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 86.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable