Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

47.83 – 39.2

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

54 – 5

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 49.6 ±57.8

9977Off-Season Demo Team 9977

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -1.44Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9984Off-Season Demo Team 9984

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 11.25Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

10342Lost in Translation

Provisional

Season APEX 49.6Event APEX 38.02Rank -Record -Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±56.6

9978Off-Season Demo Team 9978

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 7.64Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 29.84Rank -Record -Status preseasonConfidence 0

10316The Western Blue Tongues

Season APEX -Event APEX 1.72Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9977, 9984, 10342

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.8 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9977, 9984, 10342

Auto

15.2 34%

Teleop

23.3 52%

Endgame

6.1 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9978, 9995, 10316

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.2 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9978, 9995, 10316

Auto

9.4 27%

Teleop

16.9 48%

Endgame

9.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score47.8pts

Blue projected score39.2pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample70alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 21%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 8.6
Score range: 28–59
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 59 vs event baseline 59.3.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

49.6Season APEX0

15.2Auto9.4

23.3Teleop16.9

6.1Endgame9

22Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	2
teleop	31	3
endgame	17	0
foul	0	0
total	54	5

Result

Final score

54 – 5

Prediction correct · off by 20.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable