Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

185.29 – 59.8

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

306 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 68.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 60.8 ±57.4

9991Off-Season Demo Team 9991

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 79.19Rank 1Record 10-0-1Status preseasonConfidence 0

9987Off-Season Demo Team 9987

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -1.33Rank 24Record 3-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4788Can't Control

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 107.43Rank 6Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9980Off-Season Demo Team 9980

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 25.63Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9977Off-Season Demo Team 9977

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 11.91Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9995Off-Season Demo Team 9995

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 22.26Rank 13Record 5-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9991, 9987, 4788

/ 100 compat

Projected

185.3 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9991, 9987, 4788

Auto

33.8 19%

Teleop

113.6 62%

Endgame

34.6 19%

Strengths

· 4788 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9980, 9977, 9995

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.8 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9980, 9977, 9995

Auto

19.3 34%

Teleop

26.4 47%

Endgame

11.0 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score185.3pts

Blue projected score59.8pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 125.5
Score range: 48–197
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 382 vs event baseline 68.1.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

60.8Season APEX0

33.8Auto19.3

113.6Teleop26.4

34.6Endgame11

0Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	22
teleop	190	28
endgame	61	16
foul	5	10
total	306	76

Result

Final score

306 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 68.5 pts