Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
194.91 – 60.34
84%16%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
118 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 42.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 60.8 ±57.4
Season APEX 0Event APEX 82.4Rank 1Record 10-0-1Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX 1.82Rank 24Record 3-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 110.69Rank 6Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 79
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3
Season APEX 0Event APEX 25.65Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX 12.21Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Season APEX 0Event APEX 22.48Rank 13Record 5-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9991, 9987, 4788
78
/ 100 compatProjected
194.9 pts
~2.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9991, 9987, 4788
Auto
32.8 17%
Teleop
122.8 64%
Endgame
35.6 19%
Strengths
- · 4788 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9980, 9977, 9995
56
/ 100 compatProjected
60.3 pts
~0.6 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9980, 9977, 9995
Auto
19.3 34%
Teleop
27.5 48%
Endgame
10.1 18%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.59
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score194.9pts
Blue projected score60.3pts
Red win probability84%
Event bonus sample130alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 23%
Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 134.6
- Score range
- 48–207
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
60.8Season APEX0
32.8Auto19.3
122.8Teleop27.5
35.6Endgame10.1
0Consistency27
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 41 | 20 |
| teleop | 49 | 13 |
| endgame | 28 | 19 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 118 | 52 |
Result
Final score
118 – 52
Prediction correct · off by 42.6 pts