Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
174.56 – 76.67
77%23%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
0 – 122
Prediction missed · off by 109.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 302.2 ±17.5
Season APEX 26.3Event APEX 20.32Rank 39Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Season APEX 195.3Event APEX 96.09Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 80.6Event APEX 58.15Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 143.2 ±17.3
Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 20.52Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 36.8Event APEX 32.08Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 24.07Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5648, 10002, 6083
78
/ 100 compatProjected
174.6 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 5648, 10002, 6083
Auto
19.4 12%
Teleop
100.8 61%
Endgame
46.4 28%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4788, 6508, 4739
49
/ 100 compatProjected
76.7 pts
~0.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 4788, 6508, 4739
Auto
13.3 19%
Teleop
40.0 58%
Endgame
16.1 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 41%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2 · Blue 0.73
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score174.6pts
Blue projected score76.7pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 41%, blue 23%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 97.9
- Score range
- 57–195
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
302.2Season APEX143.2
19.4Auto13.3
100.8Teleop40
46.4Endgame16.1
0Consistency35
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 45 | 4 |
| teleop | 106 | 44 |
| endgame | 22 | 39 |
| foul | 65 | 35 |
| total | 0 | 122 |
Result
Final score
0 – 122
Prediction missed · off by 109.9 pts
Match videos
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