Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

102.19 – 46.97

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

131 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 16.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 268.4 ±18.1

5876ARTEMIS

Season APEX 25.2Event APEX 1.23Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

10958SWing

Provisional

Season APEX 47.9Event APEX 20.23Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10002BotBuilders

Season APEX 195.3Event APEX 80.73Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 114.9 ±20.8

10437Amity Robotics Club (ARC)

Provisional

Season APEX 42.6Event APEX 18.74Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5331Lightning Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 22.9Event APEX 6.23Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7128XLR8

Provisional

Season APEX 49.4Event APEX 22Rank 16Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5876, 10958, 10002

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.2 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 5876, 10958, 10002

Auto

28.7 29%

Teleop

59.6 60%

Endgame

10.6 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10437, 5331, 7128

/ 100 compat

Projected

47 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10437, 5331, 7128

Auto

17.3 36%

Teleop

20.4 43%

Endgame

10.0 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score102.2pts

Blue projected score47pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 55.2
Score range: 29–120
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 183 vs event baseline 102.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

268.4Season APEX114.9

28.7Auto17.3

59.6Teleop20.4

10.6Endgame10

60Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	17
teleop	25	8
endgame	8	17
foul	60	10
total	131	52

Result

Final score

131 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 16.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.