Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

126.34 – 81.61

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

216 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 52.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 287.9 ±19.7

5584ICRobotics

Season APEX 190.2Event APEX 129.52Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 80

6432Valkyries

Provisional

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 11.77Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7163A.I. Metal Pies

Provisional

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX -14.95Rank 35Record 3-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 248 ±18.1

5988Narooma High RoboRebels

Provisional

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX 5.72Rank 37Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9147The Joebots

Season APEX 32.1Event APEX -2.14Rank 34Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10002BotBuilders

Season APEX 195.3Event APEX 78.03Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5584, 6432, 7163

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.3 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 5584, 6432, 7163

Auto

20.7 17%

Teleop

53.7 45%

Endgame

44.6 37%

Strengths

· 5584 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5988, 9147, 10002

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.6 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 5988, 9147, 10002

Auto

27.5 38%

Teleop

39.7 54%

Endgame

6.0 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.69 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score126.3pts

Blue projected score81.6pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 44.7
Score range: 63–145
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 282 vs event baseline 103.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

287.9Season APEX248

20.7Auto27.5

53.7Teleop39.7

44.6Endgame6

96Consistency122

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	23
teleop	108	43
endgame	63	0
foul	30	0
total	216	66

Result

Final score

216 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 52.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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