Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.23 – 82.21

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

125 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 70.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 399.9 ±17.5

6083Overlooking

Season APEX 80.6Event APEX 17.3Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 77

5648Melbourne RoboCats 5648

Season APEX 26.3Event APEX 20.53Rank 39Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 77

6510Pymble Pride

A+

Season APEX 293Event APEX 10.4Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 404.1 ±18.4

5331Lightning Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 22.9Event APEX 3.29Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6432Valkyries

Provisional

Season APEX 59.1Event APEX 14.61Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

8613Barker Greybacks

A+

Season APEX 322.1Event APEX 64.31Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6083, 5648, 6510

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.2 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 6083, 5648, 6510

Auto

5.3 11%

Teleop

26.5 56%

Endgame

15.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5331, 6432, 8613

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.2 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 5331, 6432, 8613

Auto

21.5 28%

Teleop

42.3 55%

Endgame

12.7 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.23 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score48.2pts

Blue projected score82.2pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -34
Score range: 31–99
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 272 vs event baseline 96.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

399.9Season APEX404.1

5.3Auto21.5

26.5Teleop42.3

15.9Endgame12.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	27
teleop	90	69
endgame	15	46
foul	5	5
total	125	147

Result

Final score

125 – 147

Prediction correct · off by 70.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.