Playoff · Semifinal 5-1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

59.45 – 208.69

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 285

Prediction correct · off by 39.9 points

red allianceΣ Season APEX 22.8 ±12

4774The Drop Bears

Provisional

Season APEX 22.8Event APEX 29.48Rank 21Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9984Off-Season Demo Team 9984

Season APEX —Event APEX 5.12Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status —Confidence —

9987Off-Season Demo Team 9987

Season APEX —Event APEX 24.85Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status —Confidence —

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 264.4 ±18.4

3132Thunder Down Under

Provisional

Season APEX 132.8Event APEX 99.96Rank 9Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6476Supernova Star Squad

Provisional

Season APEX -2.3Event APEX 12.64Rank 14Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6497Pymble P-Platers

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 96.09Rank 6Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -149.2
Score range: 29–239
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-01
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 341 vs event baseline 163.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

22.8Season APEX264.4

15.2Auto52.4

24.5Teleop114

15.2Endgame42.5

7Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	73
teleop	17	140
endgame	23	72
foul	0	0
total	56	285

Result

Final score

56 – 285

Prediction correct · score err 39.9