Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

89.21 – 206.36

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

67 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 18.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 36.8 ±57.4

9984Off-Season Demo Team 9984

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 3.74Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6508Hastings Heroes

Season APEX 36.8Event APEX 53.67Rank 13Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9983Off-Season Demo Team 9983

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 31.8Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390.4 ±17.7

9147The Joebots

Season APEX 32.1Event APEX 34.66Rank 10Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

8613Barker Greybacks

A+

Season APEX 322.1Event APEX 159.77Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6434Bossley Park High School Wolfgang

Provisional

Season APEX 36.2Event APEX 11.93Rank 24Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9984, 6508, 9983

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.2 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9984, 6508, 9983

Auto

21.0 26%

Teleop

30.0 37%

Endgame

29.2 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9147, 8613, 6434

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.4 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9147, 8613, 6434

Auto

44.1 22%

Teleop

126.9 63%

Endgame

31.2 15%

Strengths

· 8613 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score89.2pts

Blue projected score206.4pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -117.2
Score range: 59–236
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 259 vs event baseline 165.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

36.8Season APEX390.4

21Auto44.1

30Teleop126.9

29.2Endgame31.2

30Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	63
teleop	4	100
endgame	22	29
foul	20	0
total	67	192

Result

Final score

67 – 192

Prediction correct · off by 18.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable