Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

93.7 – 62.52

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

139 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 26.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 226.4 ±42.9

5584ICRobotics

Season APEX 190.2Event APEX 87.93Rank 8Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80

9984Off-Season Demo Team 9984

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -0.21Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6434Bossley Park High School Wolfgang

Provisional

Season APEX 36.2Event APEX 5.98Rank 24Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 55 ±43.2

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 14.51Rank 22Record 4-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5331Lightning Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 22.9Event APEX 14.23Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9147The Joebots

Season APEX 32.1Event APEX 33.78Rank 10Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5584, 9984, 6434

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.7 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5584, 9984, 6434

Auto

21.8 24%

Teleop

43.4 48%

Endgame

24.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9992, 5331, 9147

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.5 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9992, 5331, 9147

Auto

27.7 42%

Teleop

42.3 64%

Endgame

-3.8 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score93.7pts

Blue projected score62.5pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 31.2
Score range: 33–124
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 209 vs event baseline 165.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

226.4Season APEX55

21.8Auto27.7

43.4Teleop42.3

24.4Endgame-3.8

8Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	22
teleop	50	24
endgame	34	24
foul	0	0
total	139	70

Result

Final score

139 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 26.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable