Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

427.57 – 242.78

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

447 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 25.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 703.4 ±15.8

6510Pymble Pride

A+

Season APEX 293Event APEX 140.35Rank 4Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4613Barker Redbacks

A+

Season APEX 294.4Event APEX 247.38Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7433Iona Fusion

Season APEX 116Event APEX 39.84Rank 20Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 384.1 ±16.4

8613Barker Greybacks

A+

Season APEX 322.1Event APEX 162.68Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5876ARTEMIS

Season APEX 25.2Event APEX 19.14Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6508Hastings Heroes

Season APEX 36.8Event APEX 60.96Rank 13Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6510, 4613, 7433

/ 100 compat

Projected

427.6 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6510, 4613, 7433

Auto

86.0 21%

Teleop

243.5 58%

Endgame

88.3 21%

Strengths

· 4613 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8613, 5876, 6508

/ 100 compat

Projected

242.8 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8613, 5876, 6508

Auto

43.5 19%

Teleop

143.0 62%

Endgame

45.6 20%

Strengths

· 8613 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score427.6pts

Blue projected score242.8pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 184.8
Score range: 214–457
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 658 vs event baseline 160.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

703.4Season APEX384.1

86Auto43.5

243.5Teleop143

88.3Endgame45.6

28Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	26
teleop	263	126
endgame	129	59
foul	0	0
total	447	211

Result

Final score

447 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 25.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable