Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.91 – 114.38

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

111 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.6 ±18.8

6434Bossley Park High School Wolfgang

Provisional

Season APEX 36.2Event APEX 4.67Rank 24Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

10002BotBuilders

Season APEX 195.3Event APEX 70.42Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6476Supernova Star Squad

Provisional

Season APEX -3.9Event APEX -1.18Rank 14Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 132.5 ±57.4

3132Thunder Down Under

Season APEX 132.5Event APEX 108.85Rank 9Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9988Off-Season Demo Team 9988

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -5.73Rank 26Record 3-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 11.26Rank 22Record 4-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6434, 10002, 6476

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.9 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6434, 10002, 6476

Auto

17.5 25%

Teleop

47.8 68%

Endgame

4.6 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3132, 9988, 9992

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.4 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3132, 9988, 9992

Auto

30.6 26%

Teleop

73.4 62%

Endgame

15.0 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.3 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score73.9pts

Blue projected score114.4pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -40.5
Score range: 45–143
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 253 vs event baseline 161.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.6Season APEX132.5

17.5Auto30.6

47.8Teleop73.4

4.6Endgame15

51Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	47
teleop	75	54
endgame	27	41
foul	0	0
total	111	142

Result

Final score

111 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable