Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.12 – 120.24

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 12.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 44.5 ±42.9

9975Off-Season Demo Team 9975

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 30.69Rank 23Record 4-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

5331Lightning Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 22.9Event APEX 14.74Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4774The Drop Bears

Season APEX 21.6Event APEX 24.69Rank 21Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 82

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.4 ±42.2

9147The Joebots

Season APEX 32.1Event APEX 40.69Rank 10Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9981Off-Season Demo Team 9981

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 9.74Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

10002BotBuilders

Season APEX 195.3Event APEX 69.81Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9975, 5331, 4774

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.1 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9975, 5331, 4774

Auto

11.8 17%

Teleop

50.3 71%

Endgame

8.5 12%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9147, 9981, 10002

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.2 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9147, 9981, 10002

Auto

30.5 26%

Teleop

67.4 57%

Endgame

20.9 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.12 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score70.1pts

Blue projected score120.2pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -50.1
Score range: 41–149
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 211 vs event baseline 161.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

44.5Season APEX227.4

11.8Auto30.5

50.3Teleop67.4

8.5Endgame20.9

46Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	18
teleop	25	95
endgame	32	30
foul	0	0
total	68	143

Result

Final score

68 – 143

Prediction correct · off by 12.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable