Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

170.64 – 79.51

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

216 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 28.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 45.6 ±57.4

9983Off-Season Demo Team 9983

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 26.25Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9986Off-Season Demo Team 9986

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 91.19Rank 2Record 9-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4739Normanhurst Nitro

Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 53.2Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 158.6 ±43.2

7433Iona Fusion

Season APEX 116Event APEX 43.68Rank 20Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10437Amity Robotics Club (ARC)

Provisional

Season APEX 42.6Event APEX 28.3Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 7.53Rank 22Record 4-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9983, 9986, 4739

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.6 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9983, 9986, 4739

Auto

24.3 15%

Teleop

86.7 54%

Endgame

49.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7433, 10437, 9992

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.5 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7433, 10437, 9992

Auto

27.2 32%

Teleop

40.2 48%

Endgame

16.6 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.06 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score170.6pts

Blue projected score79.5pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 91.1
Score range: 51–200
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 307 vs event baseline 162.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

45.6Season APEX158.6

24.3Auto27.2

86.7Teleop40.2

49.1Endgame16.6

88Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	35
teleop	114	42
endgame	68	9
foul	15	5
total	216	91

Result

Final score

216 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 28.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable