Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

172.83 – 249.56

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

173 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 354.4 ±18.1

5876ARTEMIS

Season APEX 25.2Event APEX 25.88Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6510Pymble Pride

A+

Season APEX 293Event APEX 136.56Rank 4Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6434Bossley Park High School Wolfgang

Provisional

Season APEX 36.2Event APEX 10.39Rank 24Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 579.2 ±15.2

8613Barker Greybacks

A+

Season APEX 322.1Event APEX 180.79Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4729EMU Robotics

Season APEX 66.9Event APEX -3.94Rank 11Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

5584ICRobotics

Season APEX 190.2Event APEX 72.71Rank 8Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5876, 6510, 6434

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.8 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5876, 6510, 6434

Auto

47.6 30%

Teleop

95.8 60%

Endgame

16.6 10%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8613, 4729, 5584

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.6 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8613, 4729, 5584

Auto

50.8 22%

Teleop

137.0 60%

Endgame

41.0 18%

Strengths

· 8613 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.09 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score172.8pts

Blue projected score249.6pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -76.7
Score range: 144–279
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 481 vs event baseline 159.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

354.4Season APEX579.2

47.6Auto50.8

95.8Teleop137

16.6Endgame41

11Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	6
teleop	95	201
endgame	31	101
foul	0	0
total	173	308

Result

Final score

173 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable