Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

421.98 – 76.42

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

376 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 28.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 489.7 ±41.6

4613Barker Redbacks

A+

Season APEX 294.4Event APEX 247.05Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9986Off-Season Demo Team 9986

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 97.61Rank 2Record 9-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

10002BotBuilders

Season APEX 195.3Event APEX 77.32Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 36.8 ±57.4

9988Off-Season Demo Team 9988

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -14.2Rank 26Record 3-8-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9975Off-Season Demo Team 9975

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 31.49Rank 23Record 4-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6508Hastings Heroes

Season APEX 36.8Event APEX 59.13Rank 13Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4613, 9986, 10002

/ 100 compat

Projected

422 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4613, 9986, 10002

Auto

72.2 18%

Teleop

230.1 57%

Endgame

103.4 25%

Strengths

· 4613 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9988, 9975, 6508

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.4 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9988, 9975, 6508

Auto

10.0 12%

Teleop

44.8 54%

Endgame

27.5 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.68 · Blue 0.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score422pts

Blue projected score76.4pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 345.6
Score range: 48–450
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 442 vs event baseline 157.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

489.7Season APEX36.8

72.2Auto10

230.1Teleop44.8

103.4Endgame27.5

33Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	17
teleop	224	6
endgame	98	28
foul	0	15
total	376	66

Result

Final score

376 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 28.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable