Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

64.95 – 160.19

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

49 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 30.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 25.2 ±57.6

5876ARTEMIS

Season APEX 25.2Event APEX 22.88Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9983Off-Season Demo Team 9983

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 36.62Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9987Off-Season Demo Team 9987

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 5.45Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 19 ±43.5

9986Off-Season Demo Team 9986

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 107.58Rank 2Record 9-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

6476Supernova Star Squad

Provisional

Season APEX -3.9Event APEX 33.93Rank 14Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5331Lightning Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 22.9Event APEX 18.68Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5876, 9983, 9987

/ 100 compat

Projected

65 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5876, 9983, 9987

Auto

13.9 25%

Teleop

41.7 74%

Endgame

0.7 1%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9986, 6476, 5331

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.2 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9986, 6476, 5331

Auto

15.3 11%

Teleop

80.6 59%

Endgame

41.3 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.89 · Blue 2.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score65pts

Blue projected score160.2pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -95.2
Score range: 36–189
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 164 vs event baseline 163.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

25.2Season APEX19

13.9Auto15.3

41.7Teleop80.6

0.7Endgame41.3

43Consistency108

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	34
teleop	16	63
endgame	13	18
foul	0	0
total	49	115

Result

Final score

49 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 30.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable