Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

138.01 – 336.68

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

236 – 385

Prediction correct · off by 73.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 340.6 ±41.7

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX -4.07Rank 22Record 4-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

3132Thunder Down Under

Season APEX 132.5Event APEX 84.71Rank 9Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

6497Pymble P-Platers

Season APEX 208.1Event APEX 57.37Rank 6Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 636.7 ±14.6

6510Pymble Pride

A+

Season APEX 293Event APEX 134.26Rank 4Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4774The Drop Bears

Season APEX 21.6Event APEX 11.34Rank 21Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 82

8613Barker Greybacks

A+

Season APEX 322.1Event APEX 191.08Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9992, 3132, 6497

/ 100 compat

Projected

138 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9992, 3132, 6497

Auto

42.1 29%

Teleop

70.4 48%

Endgame

34.0 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6510, 4774, 8613

/ 100 compat

Projected

336.7 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6510, 4774, 8613

Auto

55.9 18%

Teleop

208.5 66%

Endgame

52.3 17%

Strengths

· 8613 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score138pts

Blue projected score336.7pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -198.7
Score range: 109–366
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 621 vs event baseline 159.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

340.6Season APEX636.7

42.1Auto55.9

70.4Teleop208.5

34Endgame52.3

22Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	78
teleop	111	243
endgame	59	59
foul	5	5
total	236	385

Result

Final score

236 – 385

Prediction correct · off by 73.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable