Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

341.51 – 65.84

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

339 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 527.2 ±17.5

10437Amity Robotics Club (ARC)

Provisional

Season APEX 42.6Event APEX 36.67Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4613Barker Redbacks

A+

Season APEX 294.4Event APEX 235.69Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5584ICRobotics

Season APEX 190.2Event APEX 69.15Rank 8Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 132.8 ±42.7

9975Off-Season Demo Team 9975

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 43.6Rank 23Record 4-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4729EMU Robotics

Season APEX 66.9Event APEX -3.99Rank 11Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

7583Embers

Provisional

Season APEX 65.9Event APEX 26.23Rank 27Record 0-11-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10437, 4613, 5584

/ 100 compat

Projected

341.5 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10437, 4613, 5584

Auto

76.1 22%

Teleop

199.0 58%

Endgame

66.2 19%

Strengths

· 4613 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9975, 4729, 7583

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.8 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9975, 4729, 7583

Auto

12.9 22%

Teleop

9.6 17%

Endgame

35.3 61%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.52 · Blue 0.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score341.5pts

Blue projected score65.8pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 275.7
Score range: 37–371
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 362 vs event baseline 158.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

527.2Season APEX132.8

76.1Auto12.9

199Teleop9.6

66.2Endgame35.3

0Consistency79

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	6
teleop	196	6
endgame	101	11
foul	0	0
total	339	23

Result

Final score

339 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable