Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

221.54 – 82.83

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

348 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 83.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 572.8 ±15.1

8613Barker Greybacks

A+

Season APEX 322.1Event APEX 166.11Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10437Amity Robotics Club (ARC)

Provisional

Season APEX 42.6Event APEX 21.04Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6497Pymble P-Platers

Season APEX 208.1Event APEX 34.39Rank 6Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 0 ±69.3

9984Off-Season Demo Team 9984

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 20.22Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 14.24Rank 22Record 4-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

9975Off-Season Demo Team 9975

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 48.37Rank 23Record 4-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8613, 10437, 6497

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.5 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8613, 10437, 6497

Auto

44.6 21%

Teleop

110.7 52%

Endgame

56.5 27%

Strengths

· 8613 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9984, 9992, 9975

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.8 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9984, 9992, 9975

Auto

4.1 5%

Teleop

54.2 65%

Endgame

25.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score221.5pts

Blue projected score82.8pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 138.7
Score range: 54–251
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 390 vs event baseline 160.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

572.8Season APEX0

44.6Auto4.1

110.7Teleop54.2

56.5Endgame25.6

138Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	87	14
teleop	209	19
endgame	52	9
foul	0	0
total	348	42

Result

Final score

348 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 83.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable