Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

399.22 – 274.67

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

389 – 323

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 587.4 ±41.6

9992Off-Season Demo Team 9992

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 19.12Rank 22Record 4-7-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

4613Barker Redbacks

A+

Season APEX 294.4Event APEX 248.08Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6510Pymble Pride

A+

Season APEX 293Event APEX 132.02Rank 4Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 347.3 ±42.1

5876ARTEMIS

Season APEX 25.2Event APEX 7.78Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

8613Barker Greybacks

A+

Season APEX 322.1Event APEX 160.09Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9986Off-Season Demo Team 9986

Unrated

Season APEX 0Event APEX 106.8Rank 2Record 9-2-0Status preseasonConfidence 0

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9992, 4613, 6510

/ 100 compat

Projected

399.2 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9992, 4613, 6510

Auto

71.8 18%

Teleop

232.0 59%

Endgame

90.8 23%

Strengths

· 4613 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5876, 8613, 9986

/ 100 compat

Projected

274.7 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5876, 8613, 9986

Auto

56.3 22%

Teleop

150.8 59%

Endgame

49.3 19%

Strengths

· 8613 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score399.2pts

Blue projected score274.7pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 124.6
Score range: 244–430
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 712 vs event baseline 174.6.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

587.4Season APEX347.3

71.8Auto56.3

232Teleop150.8

90.8Endgame49.3

19Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	72
teleop	215	172
endgame	129	49
foul	0	30
total	389	323

Result

Final score

389 – 323

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 pts