Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

420.21 – 156.81

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

346 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 64.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 628.6 ±11.4

6186Hope BotCats

Season APEX 17.4Event APEX -2.71Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 83

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 216.41Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4522Team SCREAM

A+

Season APEX 310.1Event APEX 206.51Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 431.4 ±11.2

4603Forza One - Peñoles

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 13.51Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 114.68Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6424Stealth Panther Robotics

Season APEX 98.5Event APEX 28.62Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6186, 4499, 4522

/ 100 compat

Projected

420.2 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6186, 4499, 4522

Auto

66.1 16%

Teleop

239.3 58%

Endgame

109.9 26%

Strengths

· 4499 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4603, 6647, 6424

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.8 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 4603, 6647, 6424

Auto

21.9 14%

Teleop

99.8 64%

Endgame

34.0 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.61 · Blue 0.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score420.2pts

Blue projected score156.8pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 263.4
Score range: 128–449
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 558 vs event baseline 161.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

628.6Season APEX431.4

66.1Auto21.9

239.3Teleop99.8

109.9Endgame34

12Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	41
teleop	189	123
endgame	94	48
foul	15	0
total	346	212

Result

Final score

346 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 64.7 pts

Match videos

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