Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.77 – 78.11

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 6.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 188.6 ±14.6

3468MAGNAtech Rebels

Season APEX 82.7Event APEX 30.66Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1209RoboHornets

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 11.85Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9073Skol Robotics

Season APEX 39.4Event APEX 9.26Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.4 ±11.7

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 20.73Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8753Spectre

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 33.73Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2341Sprockets

Season APEX 69Event APEX 23.65Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3468, 1209, 9073

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.8 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 3468, 1209, 9073

Auto

18.1 37%

Teleop

18.8 39%

Endgame

11.8 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 127, 8753, 2341

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.1 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 127, 8753, 2341

Auto

18.1 23%

Teleop

39.7 51%

Endgame

20.1 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score51.8pts

Blue projected score78.1pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -26.3
Score range: 23–107
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 133 vs event baseline 163.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

188.6Season APEX242.4

18.1Auto18.1

18.8Teleop39.7

11.8Endgame20.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	19
teleop	16	44
endgame	20	23
foul	0	0
total	47	86

Result

Final score

47 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 6.3 pts

Match videos

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