Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
89.61 – 101.6
46%54%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
32 – 30
Prediction missed · off by 64.6 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 203.6 ±14.1
Season APEX 98.5Event APEX 18.46Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39.4Event APEX 28Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 43.15Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 274 ±14.9
Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 16.57Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 77
Season APEX 176.1Event APEX 57.03Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 28Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6424, 9073, 4603
50
/ 100 compatProjected
89.6 pts
~1.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 6424, 9073, 4603
Auto
18.7 21%
Teleop
48.3 54%
Endgame
21.8 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4764, 9067, 8753
52
/ 100 compatProjected
101.6 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 4764, 9067, 8753
Auto
27.9 27%
Teleop
44.2 44%
Endgame
29.4 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.61
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score89.6pts
Blue projected score101.6pts
Red win probability46%
Event bonus sample130alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -12
- Score range
- 57–135
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
203.6Season APEX274
18.7Auto27.9
48.3Teleop44.2
21.8Endgame29.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 16 |
| teleop | 6 | 3 |
| endgame | 6 | 11 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 32 | 30 |
Result
Final score
32 – 30
Prediction missed · off by 64.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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