Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

22.67 – 332.83

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

10 – 468

Prediction correct · off by 73.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 94.4 ±15.7

7483Mechanically Challenged

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 4.09Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5437Rocky Balboabots

Season APEX 6.1Event APEX 3.28Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 83

7255Mechanical Mettle

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX 15.3Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 691.4 ±8.7

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 22.18Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 110.92Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4522Team SCREAM

A+

Season APEX 310.1Event APEX 199.73Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7483, 5437, 7255

/ 100 compat

Projected

22.7 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7483, 5437, 7255

Auto

17.1 90%

Teleop

-8.6 0%

Endgame

10.4 55%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 127, 6647, 4522

/ 100 compat

Projected

332.8 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 127, 6647, 4522

Auto

51.2 15%

Teleop

197.1 60%

Endgame

82.6 25%

Strengths

· 4522 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.47 · Blue 2.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score22.7pts

Blue projected score332.8pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -310.2
Score range: -8–364
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 478 vs event baseline 172.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

94.4Season APEX691.4

17.1Auto51.2

-8.6Teleop197.1

10.4Endgame82.6

0Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	68
teleop	2	303
endgame	3	97
foul	0	0
total	10	468

Result

Final score

10 – 468

Prediction correct · off by 73.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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