Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

63.6 – 129.58

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 32 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 263.3 ±11.7

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 20.89Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1209RoboHornets

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 11.52Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3468MAGNAtech Rebels

Season APEX 82.7Event APEX 31.19Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 414.4 ±13.1

16Bomb Squad

Season APEX 198.9Event APEX 87.87Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9073Skol Robotics

Season APEX 39.4Event APEX 4.14Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9067The Goonies

Season APEX 176.1Event APEX 37.57Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 127, 1209, 3468

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.6 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 127, 1209, 3468

Auto

17.6 29%

Teleop

24.6 41%

Endgame

18.3 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 16, 9073, 9067

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.6 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 16, 9073, 9067

Auto

19.7 15%

Teleop

78.6 61%

Endgame

29.7 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score63.6pts

Blue projected score129.6pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -66
Score range: 34–160
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 230 vs event baseline 164.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

263.3Season APEX414.4

17.6Auto19.7

24.6Teleop78.6

18.3Endgame29.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	32
teleop	18	126
endgame	16	22
foul	0	0
total	50	180

Result

Final score

50 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 32 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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