Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

144.96 – 192.46

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

133 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 42.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 383.1 ±11.9

6424Stealth Panther Robotics

Season APEX 98.5Event APEX 28.23Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 114.31Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6186Hope BotCats

Season APEX 17.4Event APEX 2.42Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 83

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 464.8 ±11.2

8753Spectre

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 27.64Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5454Obsidian

Season APEX 199.4Event APEX 51.46Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4766Team SCREAM Jr.

Season APEX 206.1Event APEX 113.36Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6424, 6647, 6186

/ 100 compat

Projected

145 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 6424, 6647, 6186

Auto

24.2 16%

Teleop

85.2 58%

Endgame

38.2 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8753, 5454, 4766

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.5 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8753, 5454, 4766

Auto

41.3 22%

Teleop

105.2 56%

Endgame

42.4 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score145pts

Blue projected score192.5pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -47.5
Score range: 116–221
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 398 vs event baseline 160.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

383.1Season APEX464.8

24.2Auto41.3

85.2Teleop105.2

38.2Endgame42.4

14Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	45
teleop	86	171
endgame	14	49
foul	15	0
total	133	265

Result

Final score

133 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 42.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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