Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

106.08 – 262.99

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

84 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 15.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 363.7 ±12.2

1209RoboHornets

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 15.05Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9067The Goonies

Season APEX 176.1Event APEX 41.75Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2036Boulder Valley Black Knights

Season APEX 121.1Event APEX 49.28Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 453 ±12.4

3468MAGNAtech Rebels

Season APEX 82.7Event APEX 35.16Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

4499The Highlanders

A+

Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 211.73Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7483Mechanically Challenged

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 16.1Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1209, 9067, 2036

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.1 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1209, 9067, 2036

Auto

14.7 14%

Teleop

55.8 54%

Endgame

33.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3468, 4499, 7483

/ 100 compat

Projected

263 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 3468, 4499, 7483

Auto

46.7 18%

Teleop

153.8 60%

Endgame

54.0 21%

Strengths

· 4499 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score106.1pts

Blue projected score263pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -156.9
Score range: 77–292
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 338 vs event baseline 160.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

363.7Season APEX453

14.7Auto46.7

55.8Teleop153.8

33.1Endgame54

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	37
teleop	47	118
endgame	15	84
foul	0	15
total	84	254

Result

Final score

84 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 15.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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