Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

165.1 – 103.85

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

184 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 17.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 351.9 ±13.6

3937Breakaway

Season APEX 263.8Event APEX 129.61Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7255Mechanical Mettle

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX 15.07Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 80

2341Sprockets

Season APEX 69Event APEX 20.42Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.7 ±11.9

5437Rocky Balboabots

Season APEX 6.1Event APEX 1.13Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 83

5472The Wyld Stallyns

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 82.55Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 20.17Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3937, 7255, 2341

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.1 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 3937, 7255, 2341

Auto

25.7 16%

Teleop

105.5 64%

Endgame

32.9 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5437, 5472, 127

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.9 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 5437, 5472, 127

Auto

30.6 29%

Teleop

52.1 49%

Endgame

23.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.91 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score165.1pts

Blue projected score103.9pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 61.3
Score range: 75–194
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 304 vs event baseline 160.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

351.9Season APEX219.7

25.7Auto30.6

105.5Teleop52.1

32.9Endgame23.5

40Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	30
teleop	99	73
endgame	41	17
foul	0	0
total	184	120

Result

Final score

184 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 17.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.