Qualification · Qualification 42
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
226.53 – 118.06
79%21%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
336 – 189
Prediction correct · off by 90.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 379.5 ±13.7
Season APEX 19.1Event APEX 5.23Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 80
Season APEX 301.1Event APEX 201.47Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 19.83Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 267.2 ±11.6
Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 76.63Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 101.2Event APEX 31.19Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 10.24Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7255, 4499, 8753
78
/ 100 compatProjected
226.5 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 7255, 4499, 8753
Auto
40.8 18%
Teleop
130.3 58%
Endgame
53.0 24%
Strengths
- · 4499 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5472, 3184, 1209
51
/ 100 compatProjected
118.1 pts
~0.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 5472, 3184, 1209
Auto
22.7 20%
Teleop
65.7 58%
Endgame
25.7 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.18 · Blue 0.95
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score226.5pts
Blue projected score118.1pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample130alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 108.5
- Score range
- 90–255
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
379.5Season APEX267.2
40.8Auto22.7
130.3Teleop65.7
53Endgame25.7
18Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 52 | 30 |
| teleop | 171 | 108 |
| endgame | 98 | 51 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 336 | 189 |
Result
Final score
336 – 189
Prediction correct · off by 90.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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