Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

169.28 – 99.84

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

92 – 130

Prediction missed · off by 53.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 332.6 ±13

8753Spectre

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 27.68Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5437Rocky Balboabots

Season APEX 6.1Event APEX 9.49Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 83

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 132.11Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 360 ±12.2

9067The Goonies

Season APEX 176.1Event APEX 38.92Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3184Blaze Robotics

Season APEX 101.2Event APEX 28.12Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3468MAGNAtech Rebels

Season APEX 82.7Event APEX 32.8Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8753, 5437, 6647

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.3 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8753, 5437, 6647

Auto

29.0 17%

Teleop

104.5 61%

Endgame

38.3 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9067, 3184, 3468

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.8 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 9067, 3184, 3468

Auto

12.5 13%

Teleop

46.4 47%

Endgame

40.7 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score169.3pts

Blue projected score99.8pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 69.4
Score range: 71–198
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 222 vs event baseline 160.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

332.6Season APEX360

29Auto12.5

104.5Teleop46.4

38.3Endgame40.7

15Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	15
teleop	50	72
endgame	22	28
foul	0	15
total	92	130

Result

Final score

92 – 130

Prediction missed · off by 53.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.