Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
106.85 – 133.35
42%58%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
35 – 207
Prediction correct · off by 72.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 259.3 ±13.3
Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 13.48Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69Event APEX 26.86Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 121.1Event APEX 66.51Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 340.5 ±13.5
Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 22.7Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 263.8Event APEX 123.67Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 17.4Event APEX -13.02Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 83
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7483, 2341, 2036
48
/ 100 compatProjected
106.9 pts
~1.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 7483, 2341, 2036
Auto
18.9 19%
Teleop
56.9 57%
Endgame
24.0 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8753, 3937, 6186
61
/ 100 compatProjected
133.4 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 8753, 3937, 6186
Auto
30.8 24%
Teleop
65.4 50%
Endgame
33.8 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.33 · Blue 1.73
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score106.9pts
Blue projected score133.4pts
Red win probability42%
Event bonus sample130alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -26.5
- Score range
- 78–162
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
259.3Season APEX340.5
18.9Auto30.8
56.9Teleop65.4
24Endgame33.8
0Consistency68
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 48 |
| teleop | 21 | 99 |
| endgame | 2 | 60 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 35 | 207 |
Result
Final score
35 – 207
Prediction correct · off by 72.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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