Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

266.93 – 98.05

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

356 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 57.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 572.8 ±9.3

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 94.46Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5472The Wyld Stallyns

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 68.09Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4766Team SCREAM Jr.

Season APEX 206.1Event APEX 104.38Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.7 ±9.8

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 25.48Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6424Stealth Panther Robotics

Season APEX 98.5Event APEX 29.21Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9067The Goonies

Season APEX 176.1Event APEX 43.36Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6647, 5472, 4766

/ 100 compat

Projected

266.9 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6647, 5472, 4766

Auto

42.9 16%

Teleop

161.9 60%

Endgame

65.7 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 127, 6424, 9067

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.1 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 127, 6424, 9067

Auto

14.2 15%

Teleop

49.4 52%

Endgame

31.7 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score266.9pts

Blue projected score98.1pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 168.9
Score range: 70–295
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 480 vs event baseline 156.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

572.8Season APEX388.7

42.9Auto14.2

161.9Teleop49.4

65.7Endgame31.7

15Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	22
teleop	216	70
endgame	55	32
foul	0	0
total	356	124

Result

Final score

356 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 57.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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