Qualification · Qualification 24
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 161.27
6%94%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
20 – 92
Prediction correct · off by 44.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 111 ±15
Season APEX 27.9Event APEX -20.75Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 83
Season APEX 17.4Event APEX -32.26Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 83
Season APEX 65.7Event APEX -9.26Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 402.7 ±11.1
Season APEX 69Event APEX 39.34Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 102.1Rank 11Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 19.83Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11102, 6186, 4603
1
/ 100 compatProjected
-62.3 pts
~0.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 11102, 6186, 4603
Auto
10.7 0%
Teleop
-73.9 100%
Endgame
2.3 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2341, 6647, 1209
56
/ 100 compatProjected
161.3 pts
~2.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 2341, 6647, 1209
Auto
15.9 10%
Teleop
111.1 69%
Endgame
33.2 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.54 · Blue 2.35
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score-62.3pts
Blue projected score161.3pts
Red win probability6%
Event bonus sample130alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -161.3
- Score range
- -29–190
- Upset likelihood
- 6%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
111Season APEX402.7
10.7Auto15.9
-73.9Teleop111.1
2.3Endgame33.2
51Consistency55
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 16 |
| teleop | 2 | 60 |
| endgame | 7 | 16 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 20 | 92 |
Result
Final score
20 – 92
Prediction correct · off by 44.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.