Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

152.63 – 120

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

119 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 32.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 397.4 ±10.4

5454Obsidian

Season APEX 199.4Event APEX 39.15Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5472The Wyld Stallyns

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 70.5Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6424Stealth Panther Robotics

Season APEX 98.5Event APEX 42.98Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 209.9 ±14.5

5437Rocky Balboabots

Season APEX 6.1Event APEX 23Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 83

2036Boulder Valley Black Knights

Season APEX 121.1Event APEX 66.26Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3468MAGNAtech Rebels

Season APEX 82.7Event APEX 30.74Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5454, 5472, 6424

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.6 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 5454, 5472, 6424

Auto

33.8 22%

Teleop

89.1 59%

Endgame

28.4 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5437, 2036, 3468

/ 100 compat

Projected

120 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 5437, 2036, 3468

Auto

20.6 17%

Teleop

66.6 54%

Endgame

35.9 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.78 · Blue 1.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score152.6pts

Blue projected score120pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample130alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.6
Score range: 92–181
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 208 vs event baseline 158.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

397.4Season APEX209.9

33.8Auto20.6

89.1Teleop66.6

28.4Endgame35.9

61Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	18
teleop	58	42
endgame	12	29
foul	0	0
total	119	89

Result

Final score

119 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 32.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.