Qualification · Qualification 98

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

640.19 – 279.5

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

661 – 302

Prediction correct · off by 21.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 996.8 ±8.8

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 169.6Rank 48Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2767Stryke Force

Season APEX 275.4Event APEX 211.77Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 258.82Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 630.3 ±10.5

1912Team Combustion

Season APEX 202.5Event APEX 89.85Rank 28Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8817Buccaneer Robotics

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 49.76Rank 72Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

131CHAOS

Season APEX 268.3Event APEX 139.89Rank 46Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6459, 2767, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

640.2 pts

~2.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 6459, 2767, 27

Auto

123.8 20%

Teleop

375.5 61%

Endgame

119.5 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1912, 8817, 131

/ 100 compat

Projected

279.5 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 1912, 8817, 131

Auto

48.7 18%

Teleop

155.6 58%

Endgame

63.9 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.87 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score640.2pts

Blue projected score279.5pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 360.7
Score range: 204–716
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 963 vs event baseline 421.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

996.8Season APEX630.3

123.8Auto48.7

375.5Teleop155.6

119.5Endgame63.9

143Consistency139

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	181	96
teleop	336	135
endgame	144	61
foul	0	10
total	661	302

Result

Final score

661 – 302

Prediction correct · off by 21.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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