Qualification · Qualification 97
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
387.17 – 255.26
84%16%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
383 – 275
Prediction correct · off by 12 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 797.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 257Event APEX 148.91Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 325.1Event APEX 185.07Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 215.4Event APEX 53.19Rank 47Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 746.8 ±9.8
Season APEX 275.3Event APEX 112.41Rank 51Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 72.88Rank 17Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 236.2Event APEX 69.97Rank 67Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2960, 3476, 2826
64
/ 100 compatProjected
387.2 pts
~2.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 2960, 3476, 2826
Auto
86.3 23%
Teleop
227.4 60%
Endgame
67.8 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2847, 2881, 4728
52
/ 100 compatProjected
255.3 pts
~1.1 RP (championship)
Teams: 2847, 2881, 4728
Auto
45.4 18%
Teleop
128.9 51%
Endgame
76.8 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 27%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.65 · Blue 1.09
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score387.2pts
Blue projected score255.3pts
Red win probability84%
Event bonus sample282alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 69%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 27%, blue 13%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 131.9
- Score range
- 179–463
- Upset likelihood
- 16%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
797.5Season APEX746.8
86.3Auto45.4
227.4Teleop128.9
67.8Endgame76.8
144Consistency133
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 90 | 18 |
| teleop | 232 | 183 |
| endgame | 56 | 69 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 383 | 275 |
Result
Final score
383 – 275
Prediction correct · off by 12 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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