Qualification · Qualification 94

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

257.75 – 312.79

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

361 – 336

Prediction missed · off by 63.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 625.5 ±9.8

9427iDeer

Season APEX 169Event APEX 84.61Rank 54Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

3006Red Rock Robotics

Season APEX 276.8Event APEX 129.21Rank 37Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 43.93Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 683.7 ±8.7

2851Crevolution

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 65.63Rank 57Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10015Bubbles

Season APEX 201.9Event APEX 99.97Rank 70Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 147.19Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9427, 3006, 5829

/ 100 compat

Projected

257.8 pts

~1.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 9427, 3006, 5829

Auto

59.3 23%

Teleop

156.7 62%

Endgame

38.7 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2851, 10015, 1218

/ 100 compat

Projected

312.8 pts

~2.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 2851, 10015, 1218

Auto

82.8 28%

Teleop

162.0 55%

Endgame

52.0 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.28 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score257.8pts

Blue projected score312.8pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55
Score range: 181–390
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 697 vs event baseline 425.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

625.5Season APEX683.7

59.3Auto82.8

156.7Teleop162

38.7Endgame52

165Consistency168

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	29
teleop	164	170
endgame	100	132
foul	15	5
total	361	336

Result

Final score

361 – 336

Prediction missed · off by 63.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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