Qualification · Qualification 90

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

347.19 – 641.56

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

409 – 744

Prediction correct · off by 82.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 670.8 ±9.9

2075Enigma Robotics

Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 157.68Rank 41Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 86.33Rank 69Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1511Rolling Thunder

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 103.18Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 916 ±8.7

1868Space Cookies

A+

Season APEX 308.6Event APEX 211.07Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8608Alpha Bots

A+

Season APEX 300Event APEX 220.09Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2106The Junkyard Dogs

A+

Season APEX 307.4Event APEX 210.4Rank 9Record 8-1-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2075, 5066, 1511

/ 100 compat

Projected

347.2 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 2075, 5066, 1511

Auto

73.8 21%

Teleop

194.9 56%

Endgame

79.3 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1868, 8608, 2106

/ 100 compat

Projected

641.6 pts

~3.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 1868, 8608, 2106

Auto

100.0 16%

Teleop

372.9 60%

Endgame

143.7 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.86 · Blue 3.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score347.2pts

Blue projected score641.6pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 41%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -294.4
Score range: 271–718
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1153 vs event baseline 422.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

670.8Season APEX916

73.8Auto100

194.9Teleop372.9

79.3Endgame143.7

119Consistency181

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	87	155
teleop	225	419
endgame	97	170
foul	0	0
total	409	744

Result

Final score

409 – 744

Prediction correct · off by 82.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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