Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
200.34 – 200.34
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
547 – 562
Prediction missed · off by 354.2 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 866.7 ±9.3
Season APEX 289.8Event APEX -Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 268.3Event APEX -Rank 46Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 308.6Event APEX -Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 881.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 249.1Event APEX -Rank 21Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 355.6Event APEX -Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 276.8Event APEX -Rank 37Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4646, 131, 1868
50
/ 100 compatProjected
200.3 pts
~2.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 4646, 131, 1868
Auto
60.1 30%
Teleop
100.2 50%
Endgame
40.1 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 29%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8884, 3045, 3006
50
/ 100 compatProjected
200.3 pts
~1.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 8884, 3045, 3006
Auto
60.1 30%
Teleop
100.2 50%
Endgame
40.1 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 29%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.96 · Blue 1.95
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score200.3pts
Blue projected score200.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample282alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 64%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 29%, blue 31%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 128–272
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
866.7Season APEX881.5
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 107 | 147 |
| teleop | 198 | 314 |
| endgame | 207 | 101 |
| foul | 35 | 0 |
| total | 547 | 562 |
Result
Final score
547 – 562
Prediction missed · off by 354.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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