Qualification · Qualification 89

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

597.78 – 373.6

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

590 – 440

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 835.8 ±9.3

9401Midas' Mayhem

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 175.22Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

103Cybersonics

Season APEX 276.7Event APEX 205.14Rank 13Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

971Spartan Robotics

Season APEX 282.7Event APEX 217.42Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 637.5 ±8.7

3604Goon Squad

Season APEX 224.3Event APEX 125.88Rank 50Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

9032RoboWhales

Season APEX 265Event APEX 172.04Rank 16Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5665FENERBAHÇE DOGUS SPARC

Season APEX 148.2Event APEX 75.68Rank 52Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9401, 103, 971

/ 100 compat

Projected

597.8 pts

~3.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 9401, 103, 971

Auto

90.6 15%

Teleop

327.1 55%

Endgame

174.8 30%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 38%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3604, 9032, 5665

/ 100 compat

Projected

373.6 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 3604, 9032, 5665

Auto

82.2 22%

Teleop

193.6 53%

Endgame

90.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 38%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.95 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score597.8pts

Blue projected score373.6pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 38%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 224.2
Score range: 298–674
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1030 vs event baseline 421.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

835.8Season APEX637.5

90.6Auto82.2

327.1Teleop193.6

174.8Endgame90.1

108Consistency119

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	95
teleop	363	244
endgame	185	101
foul	15	0
total	590	440

Result

Final score

590 – 440

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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