Qualification · Qualification 88

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

361.5 – 424.03

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

382 – 607

Prediction correct · off by 101.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 673.5 ±10.5

4403PrepaTec - ROULT - Peñoles

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 150.42Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1912Team Combustion

Season APEX 202.5Event APEX 92.23Rank 28Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 118.85Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 847 ±10.5

9470Ctrl-Alt-Defeat

Season APEX 385.2Event APEX 265.14Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3284Camdenton LASER 3284

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 47.63Rank 34Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

167Children of the Corn

Season APEX 247.2Event APEX 111.26Rank 49Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4403, 1912, 3572

/ 100 compat

Projected

361.5 pts

~1.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 4403, 1912, 3572

Auto

95.8 27%

Teleop

187.8 53%

Endgame

72.8 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9470, 3284, 167

/ 100 compat

Projected

424 pts

~2.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 9470, 3284, 167

Auto

107.8 25%

Teleop

224.8 52%

Endgame

100.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.42 · Blue 2.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score361.5pts

Blue projected score424pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 34%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -62.5
Score range: 286–500
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 989 vs event baseline 420.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

673.5Season APEX847

95.8Auto107.8

187.8Teleop224.8

72.8Endgame100.4

197Consistency166

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	157
teleop	171	324
endgame	133	121
foul	35	5
total	382	607

Result

Final score

382 – 607

Prediction correct · off by 101.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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