Qualification · Qualification 85

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

327.83 – 527.78

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

270 – 501

Prediction correct · off by 42.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 677.4 ±9.9

1218SCH Robotics

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 151.83Rank 27Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9771FPRO

Season APEX 146.8Event APEX 38.7Rank 74Record 1-8-1Status establishedConfidence 100

9001Delta Force

A+

Season APEX 295.3Event APEX 137.3Rank 45Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 892.6 ±9.3

2826Wave Robotics

Season APEX 215.4Event APEX 60.41Rank 47Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1189Gearheads

Season APEX 254.1Event APEX 207.03Rank 32Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1114Simbotics

Season APEX 423.1Event APEX 260.34Rank 3Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1218, 9771, 9001

/ 100 compat

Projected

327.8 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 1218, 9771, 9001

Auto

61.5 19%

Teleop

185.7 58%

Endgame

70.6 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2826, 1189, 1114

/ 100 compat

Projected

527.8 pts

~2.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 2826, 1189, 1114

Auto

117.6 22%

Teleop

270.4 51%

Endgame

140.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.84 · Blue 2.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score327.8pts

Blue projected score527.8pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 32%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -199.9
Score range: 252–604
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 771 vs event baseline 420.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

677.4Season APEX892.6

61.5Auto117.6

185.7Teleop270.4

70.6Endgame140.6

192Consistency114

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	110	159
teleop	100	230
endgame	55	112
foul	5	0
total	270	501

Result

Final score

270 – 501

Prediction correct · off by 42.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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