Qualification · Qualification 84

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

383.3 – 292.38

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

421 – 189

Prediction correct · off by 70.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 660.3 ±9.9

7525Pioneers

Season APEX 159.1Event APEX 67.04Rank 59Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9084Octobots

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 176.96Rank 39Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2960Automation Nation

Season APEX 257Event APEX 139.3Rank 15Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 624.2 ±10.4

11019X.PLORE

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 66.21Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1646Precision Guessworks

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 71.55Rank 71Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4096Ctrl-Z

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 154.62Rank 33Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7525, 9084, 2960

/ 100 compat

Projected

383.3 pts

~2.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 7525, 9084, 2960

Auto

64.6 18%

Teleop

207.8 57%

Endgame

94.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11019, 1646, 4096

/ 100 compat

Projected

292.4 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 11019, 1646, 4096

Auto

63.5 21%

Teleop

188.0 64%

Endgame

44.3 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.39 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score383.3pts

Blue projected score292.4pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 90.9
Score range: 216–459
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 610 vs event baseline 421.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

660.3Season APEX624.2

64.6Auto63.5

207.8Teleop188

94.9Endgame44.3

130Consistency130

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	114
teleop	257	68
endgame	100	7
foul	5	0
total	421	189

Result

Final score

421 – 189

Prediction correct · off by 70.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.