Qualification · Qualification 82

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

461.96 – 404.58

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

487 – 585

Prediction missed · off by 102.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 799.3 ±9.3

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 78.07Rank 17Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7407Wired Boars

Season APEX 274.2Event APEX 175.04Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4646Wildcard Robotics

Season APEX 289.8Event APEX 208.85Rank 25Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 806 ±9.3

1619Up-A-Creek Robotics

Season APEX 246.4Event APEX 134.56Rank 20Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5338RoboLoCo

Season APEX 251Event APEX 81.64Rank 65Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1868Space Cookies

A+

Season APEX 308.6Event APEX 188.38Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2881, 7407, 4646

/ 100 compat

Projected

462 pts

~2.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 2881, 7407, 4646

Auto

82.0 18%

Teleop

191.3 42%

Endgame

187.2 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1619, 5338, 1868

/ 100 compat

Projected

404.6 pts

~1.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 1619, 5338, 1868

Auto

86.8 22%

Teleop

184.8 47%

Endgame

123.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.21 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score462pts

Blue projected score404.6pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 57.4
Score range: 329–538
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1072 vs event baseline 419.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

799.3Season APEX806

82Auto86.8

191.3Teleop184.8

187.2Endgame123.6

113Consistency175

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	129	103
teleop	204	291
endgame	149	186
foul	5	5
total	487	585

Result

Final score

487 – 585

Prediction missed · off by 102.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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