Qualification · Qualification 80

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

220.99 – 415.87

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

274 – 498

Prediction correct · off by 67.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 639.1 ±10.7

10162Viking Robotics

Season APEX 183.7Event APEX 9.64Rank 75Record 0-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 86.79Rank 69Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3604Goon Squad

Season APEX 224.3Event APEX 124.56Rank 50Record 4-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 788.5 ±8.7

5468Chaos Theory

A+

Season APEX 307.9Event APEX 177.78Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2583Orange Dynamite

Season APEX 250.8Event APEX 149.51Rank 55Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1731Fresta Valley Robotics Club

Season APEX 229.8Event APEX 88.58Rank 60Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10162, 5066, 3604

/ 100 compat

Projected

221 pts

~0.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 10162, 5066, 3604

Auto

68.3 31%

Teleop

99.5 45%

Endgame

52.7 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 5468, 2583, 1731

/ 100 compat

Projected

415.9 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 5468, 2583, 1731

Auto

55.0 13%

Teleop

256.1 61%

Endgame

109.3 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.73 · Blue 2.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score221pts

Blue projected score415.9pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -194.9
Score range: 145–492
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 772 vs event baseline 419.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

639.1Season APEX788.5

68.3Auto55

99.5Teleop256.1

52.7Endgame109.3

163Consistency152

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	109
teleop	142	240
endgame	69	144
foul	0	5
total	274	498

Result

Final score

274 – 498

Prediction correct · off by 67.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.