Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
206.36 – 206.36
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
274 – 359
Prediction missed · off by 110.1 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 583.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 205.3Event APEX -Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 159.5Event APEX -Rank 61Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 219Event APEX -Rank 53Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 722 ±8.7
Season APEX 234.4Event APEX -Rank 41Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 179.7Event APEX -Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 307.9Event APEX -Rank 10Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1511, 7598, 5010
50
/ 100 compatProjected
206.4 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 1511, 7598, 5010
Auto
61.9 30%
Teleop
103.2 50%
Endgame
41.3 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2075, 5829, 5468
50
/ 100 compatProjected
206.4 pts
~1.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 2075, 5829, 5468
Auto
61.9 30%
Teleop
103.2 50%
Endgame
41.3 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 13%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.77
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score206.4pts
Blue projected score206.4pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample282alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 18%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 132–280
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
583.8Season APEX722
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 49 | 90 |
| teleop | 138 | 169 |
| endgame | 72 | 90 |
| foul | 15 | 10 |
| total | 274 | 359 |
Result
Final score
274 – 359
Prediction missed · off by 110.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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