Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

221.97 – 376.13

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

370 – 656

Prediction correct · off by 214 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 695.5 ±9.3

2851Crevolution

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 55.62Rank 57Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3284Camdenton LASER 3284

Season APEX 214.6Event APEX 30.84Rank 34Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2075Enigma Robotics

Season APEX 234.4Event APEX 135.51Rank 41Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 927.7 ±11.2

9126Silver Hawks

A+

Season APEX 326.2Event APEX 79.73Rank 38Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3476Code Orange

A+

Season APEX 325.1Event APEX 164.83Rank 31Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9401Midas' Mayhem

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 131.57Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2851, 3284, 2075

/ 100 compat

Projected

222 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 2851, 3284, 2075

Auto

44.7 20%

Teleop

101.2 46%

Endgame

73.3 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9126, 3476, 9401

/ 100 compat

Projected

376.1 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 9126, 3476, 9401

Auto

114.2 31%

Teleop

165.2 45%

Endgame

85.2 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.13 · Blue 2.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score222pts

Blue projected score376.1pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 33%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -154.2
Score range: 147–451
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 1026 vs event baseline 418.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

695.5Season APEX927.7

44.7Auto114.2

101.2Teleop165.2

73.3Endgame85.2

136Consistency114

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	103
teleop	196	462
endgame	84	86
foul	0	5
total	370	656

Result

Final score

370 – 656

Prediction correct · off by 214 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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