Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

284.93 – 462.11

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

343 – 564

Prediction correct · off by 80 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 599.3 ±9.3

2539Krypton Cougars

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 224.79Rank 24Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1648G3 Robotics

Season APEX 139.4Event APEX -0.95Rank 68Record 2-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1646Precision Guessworks

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 61.09Rank 71Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 925.9 ±9.8

2826Wave Robotics

Season APEX 215.4Event APEX 48.67Rank 47Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6459AG Robotik

A+

Season APEX 325.3Event APEX 171.89Rank 48Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9470Ctrl-Alt-Defeat

Season APEX 385.2Event APEX 241.55Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2539, 1648, 1646

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.9 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 2539, 1648, 1646

Auto

87.4 30%

Teleop

155.9 53%

Endgame

49.6 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2826, 6459, 9470

/ 100 compat

Projected

462.1 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 2826, 6459, 9470

Auto

99.0 22%

Teleop

245.6 54%

Endgame

111.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score284.9pts

Blue projected score462.1pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample282alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 28%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -177.2
Score range: 210–537
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 907 vs event baseline 417.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

599.3Season APEX925.9

87.4Auto99

155.9Teleop245.6

49.6Endgame111.2

160Consistency217

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	90
teleop	174	386
endgame	84	88
foul	0	0
total	343	564

Result

Final score

343 – 564

Prediction correct · off by 80 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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